台风“海豚”威胁8月1日至15日登陆中国——东部和南部预计出现旅行中断（2026）
台风“海豚”是2026年第13号台风，可能在8月1日至15日期间登陆中国东部或南部。中国水利部警告珠江、长江和黄河流域水位显著上涨。外国旅客应关注航班和列车状态，准备灵活行程，并了解当地应急程序。
核心观点
Typhoon Dolphin, the 13th typhoon of 2026, may make landfall in eastern or southern China between August 1 and 15, 2026. China's Ministry of Water Resources warned on July 31 that the Pearl River, Yangtze River, Yellow River basins, Taihu Lake region, and parts of Yunnan, Zhejiang, Fujian, and northeast China face significant river rises. Travelers in these areas should monitor flight and train status daily, keep flexible bookings, and know local emergency contacts.
报道正文
最后审核： 2026年8月1日 · 影响程度： 高 · 信息来源： 中国水利部、新华社
最新动态
2026年7月31日，水利部发布正式预警，称台风“海豚”可能在8月1日至8月15日期间影响中国。该部特别点名珠江、长江和黄河等主要水系，警告水位危险上涨。《纽约时报》和联合台风警报中心跟踪的预报模型显示，“海豚”正向西移动，朝东海方向前进，部分集合预测指向在浙江、福建或广东沿海登陆。
今年台风季异常活跃。中国国家气候中心曾预测，仅2026年7月就可能生成多达六个台风，高于平均的3.8个。中国此前已经历台风“迈莎克”（7月3日）、超强台风“巴威”（7月中旬，迫使近200万人撤离）以及台风“诺尔”（7月25日至27日，扰乱香港航班）。如果“海豚”登陆，它将是今年夏季第四个威胁中国海岸线的台风。
据新华社报道，水利部已要求地方加强受影响流域的监测、预警和防御工作。上海附近的太湖地区此前已因早期风暴处于饱和状态，面临更高洪水风险。
下一步
- Check your airline's typhoon waiver policy today — major carriers post flexible rebooking within hours of government alerts. 2. Download the 12306 English app if you have train bookings to monitor real-time cancellations. 3. Save emergency numbers: 110 (police), 120 (ambulance), and your consulate's 24/7 line. 4. Ask your hotel about local flood history and emergency protocols.
可能变化的部分
Dolphin's exact track and intensity are uncertain as of August 1. Forecast models diverge on whether it'll make direct landfall in China or curve toward Korea/Japan. River rise severity depends on rainfall duration and whether multiple storm bands sweep the same area. Local governments may issue evacuation or closure orders with short notice.
常见问题
Is it safe to travel to Shanghai, Hangzhou, or Xiamen right now during Typhoon Dolphin?
As of August 1, 2026, these cities remain open. But the Ministry of Water Resources flagged the Taihu Lake region (near Shanghai) and coastal Zhejiang/Fujian as at-risk zones. If you haven't left yet, book refundable hotels and changeable flights for the next two weeks.
Will my travel insurance cover typhoon-related cancellations for Typhoon Dolphin?
Depends on purchase date. Policies bought after Dolphin was named (July 27, 2026) likely exclude it as a known event. If you bought earlier, save the Ministry of Water Resources warning as documentation. Some credit cards (Chase Sapphire, Amex Platinum) include trip cancellation coverage for severe weather.
Can I get a refund for canceled high-speed train tickets during a typhoon?
Yes — when China Railway cancels a train due to weather, 12306 automatically processes full refunds to your original payment method within 15 working days. Third-party bookings (Trip.com) may take longer.
What do China's typhoon color alerts mean for travelers?
China uses a four-color system: Blue (lowest), Yellow, Orange, Red (highest). A Red alert means landfall within 12 hours with winds above 51 m/s — all flights, trains, and schools shut down. No Red alert has been issued for Dolphin as of August 1, but this can change quickly.