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超强台风“海豚”增强至280公里/小时——福建与浙江严阵以待,预计8月5日至7日登陆(2026)

超强台风“海豚”已增强至最大持续风速280公里/小时(相当于5级飓风),正朝中国福建—浙江沿海移动,预计登陆时间为2026年8月5日至7日。上海、宁波、福州、厦门和温州的外国旅客应准备应对航班取消、列车停运和港口关闭,最早可能从8月4日开始。

核心观点

Super Typhoon Dolphin has intensified to a Category 5-equivalent storm with maximum sustained winds of 280 km/h (175 mph) and 13-meter waves. The storm is tracking toward the Fujian-Zhejiang coast with landfall expected August 5-7, 2026 — a sharp escalation from earlier forecasts. Travelers in Shanghai, Ningbo, Fuzhou, Xiamen, Wenzhou, and Hangzhou should expect flight cancellations, high-speed rail suspensions, and port closures starting as early as August 4.

**最后审核:**2026年8月3日 · **影响程度:**高 · **来源:**联合台风警报中心、中国气象局

最新变化

2026年7月31日,中国水利部发布广泛警告,称台风“海豚”可能在8月1日至15日期间在中国东部或南部沿海任何地点登陆。当时,该风暴为相当于2级飓风的台风。

此后,“海豚”在西北太平洋暖水域快速增强。根据联合台风警报中心(JTWC),该风暴已达到超强台风状态,最大持续风速为280公里/小时——使其成为2026年太平洋台风季的第四个超强台风。Zoom Earth在8月2日的卫星图像显示清晰台风眼和对称外流,确认风暴结构组织良好。

路径预测已显著收紧。越南国家水文气象预报中心报告称,截至8月3日,“海豚”正从西北偏西路径转向更直接向西路径,加速至约25公里/小时,朝福建—浙江交界地区移动。Meteored预计登陆时间为8月5日至7日,福建和浙江两省已开始准备应对强降雨和飓风级风力。

根据航运情报公司TFG Global,上海和宁波港口——仍在清理7月下旬台风“诺尔”造成的积压——已出现新的拥堵警告。

下一步

  1. Check your travel insurance coverage for typhoon-related cancellations. 2. Contact your airline or OTA about travel waivers for August 4-8 east coast flights. 3. Download the 12306 English app for real-time train updates. 4. Book refundable accommodation for any east coast arrivals August 5-10. 5. Save emergency numbers: 110 (police), 119 (fire/rescue), 120 (ambulance).

可能变化的部分

Typhoon tracks are dynamic. The JTWC forecast has high confidence through August 5 and medium confidence beyond. Dolphin could veer north toward the Yangtze River Delta (Shanghai) or south toward the Taiwan Strait. Official Chinese emergency response levels (blue/yellow/orange/red) will be announced by provincial governments and may trigger mandatory coastal evacuations.

常见问题

Is it safe to travel to Shanghai right now during Typhoon Dolphin?

Shanghai is not in the direct landfall path based on the August 3 forecast, but it will experience outer rainbands, strong winds, and flight disruptions starting around August 4-5. If your trip is flexible, waiting until after August 8 is safer.

Will my flight to Fuzhou or Xiamen be cancelled due to Typhoon Dolphin?

High probability of cancellations for flights scheduled August 5-7, 2026. Most major carriers have activated flexible rebooking for east coast China destinations. Check your airline's app or website for travel waivers.

How do I get real-time Typhoon Dolphin updates in English while in China?

Use Zoom Earth (zoom.earth/storms/dolphin-2026) for live satellite tracking, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center for official forecasts, and your airline's app for flight-specific updates. Chinese weather alerts on Weibo and WeChat are mostly in Chinese.

What should I do if my flight to east China is cancelled by Typhoon Dolphin?

Contact your airline directly (not just the OTA). Ask about travel waivers which allow free rebooking. Consider flying into Beijing, Guangzhou, or Shenzhen as alternative entry points, then taking a train inland after the storm passes.

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